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Battery Manufacturing 2030+: From Hype to Hard Truths



The study 'Battery Manufacturing 2030+: From Hype to Hard Truths', jointly conducted by Porsche Consulting, VDMA, Agora Strategy, and Fraunhofer ISI, provides a strategic reassessment of the global battery industry amid shifting market dynamics. Building on the earlier “Battery Manufacturing 2030: Collaborating at Warp Speed” report, it highlights how the once-booming gigafactory expansion has entered a phase of slower, more uncertain growth.

Executive Summary


  • Gigafactory momentum is slowing, but the battery market continues to grow. Funding and industrialization risks threaten announced capacities in Europe and North America.

  • Geopolitical fragmentation is reshaping the battery value chain. Regionalization, resource nationalism, and tech decoupling demand localized strategies and policy alignment for industrial resilience.

  • Asian suppliers lead the battery equipment market, powering 90 percent of the first gigafactories. Newcomers are shifting from turnkey to cherry-picking single-process tools.

  • The battery equipment market is expected to reach a cumulative value of € 250–280 billion by 2035, driven by rising demand, new gigafactories, factory upgrades, and tech integration needs.

  • Success for equipment makers lies in specialization, alliances, and process know-how. Policymakers must back R&D, geopolitical risk management, and Europefocused funding criteria.


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